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April 12, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Things other than injuries


Let me quickly sum up the injury news, then hit some other notes.

Marc-Andre Fleury practiced and looked fine. He said he had no setbacks and his recovery was moving in the right direction. It’s entirely possible he could play tomorrow night. He also said he felt rusty and his timing was off, and he still has to be cleared by doctors to play, so this one is very much up in the air.

Olli Maatta looked good to go, skating with the top four defensemen. Beau Bennett rotated in with the fourth line but didn’t sound as optimistic as Maatta when talking about playing. Evgeni Malkin and Bryan Rust are skating but not practicing with the team.

Coach Mike Sullivan on the impact of the injury situation:

“We’re not going to change how we play if we make a lineup decision. This team has established an identity for itself and has played to their strengths for a long time and I think there’s a belief in the room that if we play a certain way, we give our team the best chance to win. And we’re a competitive hockey team. Regardless of who we move in and out of the lineup, that will never change.”

Some other notes:

— released playoff series odds today:
Washington -290 Philadelphia
Dallas -225 Minnesota
Anaheim -180 Nashville
Penguins -150 Rangers
Tampa Bay -150 Detroit
Florida -145 Islanders
Los Angeles -145 San Jose

Who do you think the most live underdogs are? I’d say Philly and the Islanders.

They also released Conn Smythe odds:
Braden Holtby 17-2
Patrick Kane 15-1
Jonathan Quick 15-1
Sidney Crosby 16-1
Alex Ovechkin 18-1

— One of the big decisions Alain Vigneault will have to make is which of his sometimes-criticized defensemen to play against the Crosby line. I looked back at the four regular season meetings between the teams and came to a conclusion: I’m not sure Vigneault has many good options. Crosby pretty much worked whatever D pair the Rangers threw out against him this season.

Take the March 13 meeting, for instance. At 5-on-5, the most common pair out against Crosby was McDonagh-Girardi. Crosby was plus-7 Corsi against McDonagh and plus-6 against Girardi.

Kevin Klein had one good matchup with Crosby, putting up a plus-5 Corsi against him in about seven minutes of ice time March 3. Maybe go with him. And good luck.

— Finally, I don’t know if you get tired of these look-how-far-the-Penguins-have-come stats, but I was thinking of one today.

I remember being in Chicago on Jan. 6 when the Blackhawks beat the Penguins 3-1 in a game nowhere near that close. They outshot the Penguins 37-18. A blowout, essentially. I remember thinking the Penguins were getting better under Mike Sullivan, but they were still light years behind the Blackhawks in every way imaginable.

Chicago was 25-13-4 for 54 points with a plus-17 goal differential. The Penguins were 19-15-6 for 44 points with a minus-5 differential.

Final standings.


Bye for now,



April 10, 2016
by Bill West

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Flyers postgame


The end of the regular season affords us the opportunity to step back and truly admire a tale of two seasons.

For better or worse, neither the players nor coach Mike Sullivan are particularly interested in big-picture reflection on the Penguins’ season right now, so stirring quotes must wait until some later date.

In the meantime, let’s look at a few #Fancystat sampling from’s to see how things ultimately played out in the regular season during Mike Johnston’s 28-game tenure and Sullivan’s 54-game stretch. All stats are score-adjusted and strictly reflect five-on-five play.

First, here’s an overview of some of the key metrics. I included a sample that includes the whole season and one for each coach’s stint. It’s worth noting that shooting plus save percentage, known as PDO, remained just a smidge above 100 percent for both coaches. So neither benefitted from some unsustainable aberration in performance.

prime overallPens under JohnstonPens under Sullivan

Next, scoring chances. Notice how the total scoring chances per 60 minutes barely changes. The notion that the Penguins are just giving up chances to get more, one that’s still held by certain segments of the hockey watchers in town, is false. They’ve simply generated more and allowed fewer.

overall scoring chancesJohnston scoring chancesScoring chances under Sullivan

Lastly, the data that probably resonates most with the non-analytics crowd: Shot and goal differentials. The goal differential under Johnston was perhaps the brightest part of his season — the Penguins managed to score more than 50 percent of the goals, even though the rest of their possession stats fell short of 50. But Sullivan turned the Penguins into a goal-scoring machine, and did so without ruining their defensive efforts.

Goals overallGoals under JohnstonGoals under Sullivan


April 9, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Sullivan to Bruins, Red Wings: Tough luck


Coach Mike Sullivan said Sidney Crosby and Kris Letang won’t play today in the regular season finale in Philadelphia.

Crosby is out with “bumps and bruises.” Letang is a healthy scratch. Call-up Kael Mouillierat will take Crosby’s spot in the lineup. Pouliot will be in for Letang.

The Bruins and Red Wings, whose playoff hopes would be helped with a Flyers loss today, probably aren’t too happy about those lineup decisions. Sullivan had an amazing quote when asked about that topic:

“The reality is that there are 82 games in the schedule for teams to take control of what they can to put their teams in the best position. That’s what we tried to do with our club. That’s what we’re going to continue to try to do with our club.”

In other words, dear Bruins and Red Wings, tough luck.

Matt Murray will start in goal. That’s a little surprising, since an injury to Murray, with Marc-Andre Fleury’s status in question due to a concussion, would be very bad news for the Penguins.

Here’s what Sullivan said about it:

“He is important for us. He gives us a chance to win. I think the experience he gets in games like this that are playoff-like will serve him well moving forward.”

I can see his point. Murray’s played a dozen NHL games. The more NHL shots he can face, the quicker he’ll develop. It’s risky, though. Just watch that Mouillierat-Subban clip from the last post down.

Meanwhile, I think I can shed some light on why Crosby is out with bumps and bruises and Letang is a healthy scratch.

Teams are allowed four non-emergency call-ups from the AHL after the trade deadline. The Penguins have used them up.

Teams are allowed as many emergency call-ups as they need, so long as the call-up is replacing an injured player. So Mouillierat can only replace Crosby due to an injury, but Pouliot, who was already on the roster, can replace Letang for any reason.

I’m not saying Crosby doesn’t have bumps and bruises. By April 9 every season, I’m sure he does. I’m just talking about the technicalities of it.

Finally, Sullivan didn’t say where Mouillierat will slot into the lineup exactly, only saying that he’ll play center.

More after the game,



April 9, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Philadelphia pregame


The Penguins called up Kael Mouillierat from Wilkes-Barre this morning, perhaps signaling Sidney Crosby will have the day off as the regular season wraps up with the Flyers this afternoon. With Derrick Pouliot available, Kris Letang could get the day off too.

Coach Mike Sullivan will talk with reporters at about 1:30 and perhaps he’ll confirm that theory. Or, the playoffs being near, he may call everyone a game-time decision.

Either way, I don’t know about you, but I’m excited about the Mouillierat call-up.

First of all, he did a good job for WBS this season, holding down the top-line center spot with call-ups leaving the lineup on a practically daily basis. He centered Scott Wilson and Conor Sheary to start the year, and those guys ended up having very good seasons.

His last name is pronounced MOOL-uhr-aht, incidentally.

None of that is why I’m excited to see him, though. It’s because he has an awesome highlight reel.

You probably know about his lacrosse goal for WBS earlier this season:

You might know he did it once before in the AHL:

But did you know he did it in the ECHL too?

He’s scored in the NHL before:

Here’s a filthy goal from his college days:

He’s fought Cory Conacher, which I’m sure a lot of players would like to have done:

How about this nasty little piece of work on Bruins goalie prospect Malcolm Subban?

If you prefer your big hits to be delivered to skaters, try this instead. Holy cow.

Bye for now,



April 8, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Erasing a zero


The Penguins practiced at the Class of 1923 ice rink at the University of Pennsylvania this afternoon, getting on the ice right around the time the Penguins Roundtable podcast started. It was a loud rink, and that made my involvement a little spotty on the audio side, but Bill West, Ken Laird and Josh Taylor still had a good show. Listen to it here.

For some injury updates on Marc-Andre Fleury and Beau Bennett, such as they are at this time of year, check out Bill’s notebook here.

I wrote about the idea of resting stars for tomorrow’s game against the Flyers. Read about it here.

If I had to guess, reading between the lines of what Mike Sullivan said, I think Sidney Crosby and Kris Letang will get the day off, but it could still go the other way.

Here on the blog, I’d like to look at tomorrow’s game from a different angle. It’s Brian Dumoulin’s last chance to score a goal this season.

Dumoulin is clearly having an outstanding season, emerging as a top-four defenseman before anyone thought he would. He has 16 assists in 78 games with no power-play time. But he doesn’t have a goal.

“I’m getting chances. I think it’s going to come,” Dumoulin said a few weeks ago. “It’s going to be a big goal when I score one, hopefully. That’s something I’m not too worried about, but obviously you want to score a goal.”

Dumoulin’s zero in the goal column got me thinking. What Penguins player has appeared in the most games in a season without scoring? It’s not that hard a trivia question because it only happened a couple of years ago, but it was a fun list to put together. So check it out.

I think you’ll see Ian Cole wouldn’t mind getting a goal tomorrow too.

CRAIG ADAMS 09-10 82
CHRIS TAMER 97-98 79
ROB SCUDERI 07-08 71
IAN MORAN 02-03 70
IAN COLE 15-16 69
CRAIG MUNI 96-97 64
ROB SCUDERI 05-06 57

More before tomorrow’s game.

Bye for now,



April 8, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Washington postgame


I realize I’m still relatively new here, but I honestly thought there might be mixed emotions in the Penguins locker room — and especially in the coaches room — after a 4-3 overtime win over the Capitals tonight.

Sure, they clinched second place in the Metropolitan Division. They actually did that just by getting to overtime after the Rangers lost 4-1 to the Islanders earlier. But they also had to play overtime after holding a 3-0 lead as late as 17 minutes into the second period.

Coaches usually hate that.

But that’s not how it played out.

The Penguins seemed happy to secure home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs and coach Mike Sullivan chalked up the blown lead largely to the vagaries of the game.

“That’s hockey. When you look around the league, it happens a lot,” Sullivan said. “I think our team has been extremely diligent in making sure when we have leads, we continue to play on our toes and we don’t sit back and let teams come at us. This is a good team we played. They had some chances in the third and they buried a couple of them. What I love about it is how our teams responds to it. For me, that’s encouraging. We don’t sink on the bench. We don’t get rattled. We go about our business. We go back and we play.”

Sullivan’s right, I guess. When the Senators blew a three-goal lead to the Penguins two nights ago, you didn’t see them steady things up and force overtime. They got rolled.

And they certainly didn’t score an OT goal as pretty as this one.

Beyond that, Matt Cullen, whose 39-year-old legs helped him score two hustle goals in the first two periods, said he thinks a game like tonight’s might end up helping the Penguins in the long run.

“That’s good preparation for the playoffs,” Cullen said. “Nobody’s going to go away, no matter what the lead is. It was good for us to see that. It was good to experience it. The crowd really got into it. It felt like a playoff game, which is good for us. Obviously there are a few things we’d like to clean up and we’ll take a look at them, but that’s playoff hockey. There’s a lot of ups and downs. Teams are going to come back. It’s an emotional roller coaster.”

All right. I give up. I guess Sullivan and Cullen have convinced me. Go ahead and celebrate home ice without my pesky questions, Penguins. You’ve come a long way since December.

Some other notes from tonight’s game:

— Sullivan said Beau Bennett did not play after taking warm-ups because the team is being cautious with him as he’s still dealing with the effects of a shoulder injury that cost him 42 games earlier this season. Tom Sestito took his spot in the lineup.

— Sestito was right earlier. His presence in the lineup didn’t deter Tom Wilson from taking a boarding major that sent Nick Bonino briefly to the locker room for repairs. But that doesn’t mean Sestito didn’t play a good game. I thought he was excellent. He played seven shifts for about six minutes of ice time, recording an assist, getting involved in at least one other scoring chance and delivering five hits. A strong showing.

— Who was the toughest No. 43 on the ice tonight? Was it Wilson, who would win a fight against all but one or two players in the division? Or was it Conor Sheary, who scored a second-period goal despite having an ugly, swollen eye from a high stick two days earlier? Depends on your definition of toughness.

— Checking out the possession stats, good night for the Hagelin-Bonino-Kessel line. Good night for Brian Dumoulin, who has been really effective defending Alex Ovechkin this season. Bad night for the Cole-Schultz pair.

As I try to learn more about using advanced stats, tonight’s Corsi chart from confuses me. The Capitals had more shot attempts when the Penguins were scoring and the Penguins had more shot attempts while the Capitals were scoring.


If anybody wants to take a crack at explaining it to me, I’m all ears in the comments or on Twitter. (Comments about my sloppy screen-grabbing are not as welcome.)

— You know how teams often talk about wanting to turn in a full 60-minute effort? I think that’s where Matt Murray is right now. He’s been good for the most part, with a handful of hiccups along the way. Early in the game against Ottawa. Late in the game tonight. Not awful hiccups. I mean, two of the three goals he gave up tonight came on redirections around the net. But for a few minutes here and there, on a few shots here and there, he hasn’t consistently reached the high standards he’s set for himself.

— Power play wasn’t good tonight, going 0-4, including a five-minute major after Wilson hit Bonino. Can’t imagine the coaches were too happy with that.

See, there I go again …

Bye for now,



April 7, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Washington pregame


The way I see it, the Penguins have three objectives here tonight in Washington.

1. Clinch second place in the Metropolitan Division and the home-ice advantage that comes with it.

It’s not a huge deal, really. The Penguins have been very good lately no matter where they’ve played. They’re 7-0 in their last seven road games and 6-1 in their last seven home games. I can’t imagine having to start a playoff series in Manhattan or Brooklyn would bother them much.

Still, you’d rather have home ice than not, and here are the three ways the Penguins clinch it tonight, according to the NHL’s PR department:

1. Win
2. Lose in overtime or the shootout AND the Rangers lose to the Islanders
3. Lose in overtime or the shootout AND the Rangers beat the Islanders in a shootout

2. Make a good impression against an opponent they could easily see in the second round of the playoffs.

You know, like the last time the teams met, a 6-2 Penguins win at home on March 20. That kind of impression.

Sidney Crosby, more or less, buys into that idea.

“You look at the games throughout the year, how teams match up, what you can improve on based on previous meetings. I thought the last game, we did a better job staying out of the box and being more disciplined, but at the same time, we still played with that intensity that we needed. You learn things about your team. Hopefully we can build off that and use it as a good motivating factor here, that we could see them again.”

3. Stay healthy.

Mike Sullivan gave an injury update after morning skate today.

Evgeni Malkin, Olli Maatta and Bryan Rust have been ruled out for the final two games of the regular season. That’s not a significant change in prognosis for any of the three. It’s just basically a formal update from the team.

Based on the reports right after Malkin got hurt, the earliest he could be expected back is April 23. When Maatta got hurt March 24, he was deemed week to week. No surprise they won’t play tonight or Saturday.

It’s a bit of bad news for Rust. The team called him day to day when he got hurt March 29. I thought there was at least a chance he could be back before the end of the regular season.

Marc-Andre Fleury, you’ll notice, wasn’t ruled out for the next two games. That’s good news for him as he recovers from a concussion. Sullivan said he’s been making significant progress in his recovery.

Conor Sheary, meanwhile, took morning skate after taking a high stick near his right eye Tuesday in Ottawa. There is considerable swelling and discoloration but no damage to the eye itself which, of course, is the primary concern in situations like this. He’s a game-time decision tonight.

Sheary said he feels fine, that it looks worse than it is, but there’s a complicating factor, in my mind anyway. Sheary wears contacts. He said he’s near-sighted, so he can get by on the ice without them, as he did for morning skate. I’m not sure he’d want to try that in a game.

As an aside, I can’t imagine jamming a contact into that eye. Can you? I have a hard enough time with it the morning after having a few drinks the night before.

If Sheary is out, Tom Sestito will be in. He was called up this morning and took part in morning skate.

I asked Sestito if he thinks his presence could stop some of the hack and whack hockey that’s been going on the last few games for the Penguins. He said he wasn’t sure. Maybe if someone was thinking of starting something, they’d see him out there and think twice, but probably not.

I completely agree with Sestito. Let’s use Philadelphia’s Wayne Simmonds as an example. If Sestito had been dressed last Sunday, would that have stopped Simmonds from scraping his stick blade across Matt Murray’s neck or elbowing Kris Letang? Probably not.

But since those actions weren’t penalized by the referees, justice has to be administered somehow. That’s where Sestito would come in.

I was going to close the pregame post with a video of Sestito’s previous scraps with Washington’s Tom Wilson, but to my surprise, the pair haven’t tangled before.

Instead, here’s Wilson’s most recent fight, a meeting with LA’s Kyle Clifford about a month ago:

And Sestito’s fight with a Capitals farmhand, Liam O’Brien, from last month. Sestito does an amazing job fighting off a takedown attempt at the end of this fight. As I tweeted the night it happened, I think he was using a whizzer.

More after the game,



April 6, 2016
by Bill West

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Ottawa postgame


I guess I should start by apologizing for today’s pregame post, which certainly fulfilled its jinx-y promise to the fullest. Guess it’s a good thing the Penguins no longer have a non-playoff team left on their schedule.Pens vs Sens final

What I found interesting/unique about tonight’s 5-3 win over Ottawa, at least in regards to the pregame entry, was the Penguins actually performed poorly on the possession front. Unlike in the wins over Buffalo, Carolina and Columbus, the Penguins didn’t pile up shot attempts and simply wait for the probabilities to play out. They legitimately trailed in score-adjusted Corsi throughout the game and never caught up, even as they tied and then surpassed Ottawa on the scoreboard.

Below, you’ll find a very helpful set of data tracking the Penguins’ score-adjusted Corsi differential over the past two months. All credit goes to Mike Darnay for putting it together in a nice, tidy tweet.

Of course, almost any Penguins fan knows what happens when the team pulls off a comeback win by now. Cue the #ResilientPenguins quote.

“When you get down three goals, that’s a tough climb, and I love the resilience that our guys showed to crawl back into it, one goal at a time,” coach Mike Sullivan said. “For me, that’s kind of been part of the identity of this group here. They’ve shown that regardless of how the game goes, or especially early on, if we’re down in games, we have the ability to come back. I think it’s an indication of the mindset of the group right now. There’s a mental toughness there, that we can battle through some of that adversity, even when we’re not at our best.”

The Penguins won when trailing after one period for the 10th time, a total which tied them for second in the league. Only Washington (12) has more wins of that variety.

Is there any panic among players when the Penguins fall behind these days? Apparently not.

“We played even sloppier in the first five minutes of the second (period),” said Carl Hagelin, who scored the tying and winning goals. “Sometimes that’s what it takes for us to get going. It was a good response.”


April 5, 2016
by Bill West

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Ottawa pregame


After the Penguins pulled off a 5-4 shootout win over Buffalo on March 30, even the players began to support the month-long storyline that they simply lacked a sharp, stifling intensity against non-playoff contenders. They needed the high stakes of a matchup with Washington or either of the New York teams, they said with shrugs.

As the Penguins head into the last of their regular-season games against also-rans tonight, let’s look back at a few of these past “letdown” games and determine whether the narrative is more fact or fiction.

Below are the score-adjusted, all-situation shot attempt counts graphed by Hockeystats.Ca. I included both March games against New Jersey, a fringe playoff contender at the start of the month, in addition to the matchups with Buffalo, Carolina, Columbus and Calgary. (Remember that loss and the panic that ensued? Kind of funny in retrospect.)

Pens vs Buffalo March 29Pens vs Devils March 24Pens vs Canes March 17Pens vs CBJ March 11Pens vs Devils March 6Pens vs Calgary March 5

What you’ll notice is the Penguins finished with a better Corsi count in each of the six. None of the non-playoff teams really controlled a game by that measure. However, there was some legitimacy to the “bad start against bad teams” theory. Calgary came as close as any of the opponents to legitimately outplaying the Penguins. And the March 6 meeting with the Devils certainly went back and forth for the first two periods, though the Penguins found far better success at putting the puck in the net.

After that though? The Penguins mostly just encountered teams that scored on a couple of their rare shots and went into a protective shell thereafter.

Fears about how the Penguins handle a protect-the-lead style from the opponent, even an overmatched one, probably will continue when the playoffs arrive. And shot attempts can sometimes be misleading as a measure of performance, because teams will happily clog the neutral zone and/or the area in front of their goal and allow pucks to fly from the periphery.

But what must (or at least) should bring the Penguins’ faithful some relief is that this team increasingly understands how to score off of forced turnovers and by chasing down chip-ins. While there’s a tendency to think of the Penguins’ stars dangling their way through defenses and tic-tac-toeing passing as the team’s defining moments, it’s perhaps wiser to envision the team’s plan of attack for the immediate future involving every skater, from Sidney Crosby down to Conor Sheary, looking to pressure their way to wins, just as a college basketball team might full-court press its way through March Madness.

Keep an eye on how the Penguins deal with Ottawa’s star, defenseman Erik Karlsson. If they can pester a player as offensively gifted as Karlsson into costly mistakes, there’s little reason to think the Penguins will grow any less confident about how they go about the business of generating scoring chances and shot attempts when the regular season ends this coming weekend.


April 4, 2016
by Jonathan Bombulie

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Philadelphia postgame


In an apparent effort to make the end of the season more exciting, the NHL backloaded the Penguins’ schedule with rivalry games.

Their first meeting with the Flyers, for instance, didn’t come until Jan. 21 and the next three were all scheduled for the middle of March and later.

This turned out to be a stroke of terrible luck for the Flyers.

If the Flyers caught the Penguins four times in November and December, who knows how the meetings would have gone? After all, it wasn’t that long ago when conventional wisdom said the Flyers were in the Penguins’ heads.

These days, frankly, it isn’t even a contest.

The Penguins completely dominated this game today. Just like they did the previous meeting a couple of weeks ago in Philadelphia.

The first period was particularly lopsided. The Penguins took the first six shots of the game, outshot the Flyers 16-6 in the period and took a 2-0 lead.

The first goal was a good metaphor for how things went. With about five minutes left in the first, Wayne Simmonds tied up Sidney Crosby in the high slot and took him down. Crosby retaliated by scoring 35 seconds into the ensuing power play.

Take a penalty against the Penguins? You pay. Turn a puck over in the neutral zone? You pay. Bring anything other than your best game? You lose.

Some other notes from today’s game:

— There was some talk after the game about a few bits of nasty business from the Flyers. Most notably, about how Simmonds ran his stick blade across goalie Matt Murray’s neck after a whistle in the third period.

I didn’t think this was a particularly egregious example of a team trying to take liberties with the Penguins to get them off their game. I mean, Simmonds should have been penalized for that little move. Should have been penalized for an elbow on Kris Letang earlier, too. But I mean, I’ve seen worse.

The most interesting part about the bouts of ugliness in this game weren’t how awful they were. It was how the Penguins responded. They completely ignored it and went about the business of scoring goals.

“We’re pretty focused right now,” Eric Fehr said. “We know what we’re trying to accomplish and we know the stuff after the whistles isn’t going to get us there. That extracurricular stuff isn’t our team identity right now. We’re trying to be a fast team and a high-scoring team. That doesn’t gain us any points in the standings.”

We’ve heard Penguins teams say that for years. This one seems to mean it.

— The old Corsi chart for this one illustrates how lopsided it was:

A couple of other things I noticed looking at the possession numbers. The Cole-Schultz pair pwned the Flyers, which makes sense since it seemed like Schultz was joining the rush for a scoring chance every other shift. The Kunitz-Crosby-Hornqvist line was pretty dominant too.

— The Penguins hit the 100-point threshold and are five points up on the Rangers in the race for second place in the division. The Rangers have five games left. If this were CNN, we’d be getting pretty close to making a projection on that one, no matter how many precincts are still outstanding.

— Coach Mike Sullivan did not have an update on Marc-Andre Fleury’s condition after the game. He said Fleury was scheduled to meet with doctors Sunday evening. There could be an update by Monday or Tuesday.

My experience with concussions is that the average absence is about 10 days, but it’s such a personal injury that citing averages is almost completely pointless. When Fleury’s symptoms subside, then he’ll begin the road to recovery.

The Penguins have a schedule off day tomorrow, so expect the next blog update Tuesday from Ottawa.

Bye for now,


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