What got me thinking about today’s analysis of the Penguins’ shots was something head coach Mike Johnston said a few weeks back: how he believes to be a 20-goal scorers you need to take 200 shots and to be a 30-goal scorer to you have to take 300 shots.
I went back and looked at the non-lockout years during the Sidney Crosby Era – 2005-06 through 2013-14 – and it’s honestly not that necessary. Check this out:
>>>A total of 631 players scored between 20-29 goals during that time, and 253 of them took 200 or more shots – about 40.1 percent.
>>>A total of 206 players scored between 30-39 goals during that time, and 22 of them took 300 or more shots – about 10.7 percent.
I didn’t look at players who scored 40 or more goals, the idea being that these guys are outliers compared to the norm, exceptional performances that exist outside of the larger sample size.
Feel free to disagree, if you will.
>>>Also in the piece, I looked at which players during the Crosby Era finished in the top 10 in shots AND shooting percentage. One hint: There weren’t many Penguins. Evgeni Malkin did it in 2008-09 and 2011-12. Sidney Crosby did it in 2009-10. James Neal did it in 2011-12.
Overall, Alex Ovechkin did it all nine seasons I looked at. Ilya Kovalchuk did it five times. And Phil Kessel did it four times. Marian Hossa, Rick Nash, Zach Parise and Eric Staal three times.
Nowhere to be found: Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews of the Blackhawks and Anze Kopitar and Marian Gaborik of the Kings. Patrick Sharp of the Blackhawks has done it twice.
Here’s the compete list: Ovechkin 9; Kovalchuk 5; Kessel 4; Hossa 3; Nash 3; Parise 3; Staal 3; Jeff Carter 2; Dany Heatley 2; Jarome Iginla 2; Vincent Lecavalier 2; Malkin 2; Corey Perry 2; Max Pacioretty 2; Sharp 2; Steven Stamkos 2; Jamie Benn 1; Jason Blake 1; Jonathan Cheechoo 1; Crosby 1; Simon Gagne 1; Jaromir Jagr 1; Olli Jokinen 1; Patrick Marleau 1; Neal 1; Tyler Seguin 1; Jeff Skinner 1; John Tavares 1; Henrik Zetterberg 1.
>>>One other thing that I looked at, and had to get the Portland Winterhawks to help me, was Johnston’s teams’ shot volumes in the Western Hockey League.
A final calculation appeared in the paper, but here’s a year-by-year breakdown of what I found:
Shots For: 35.71
Shots Against: 34.10
Shots For: 38.04
Shots Against: 35.26
Shots For: 41.25
Shots Against: 30.63
Shots For: 39.96
Shots Against: 29.00
Shots For: 38.94
Shots Against: 30.64